Executive Pay: The Curious Case of Carlos Ghosn’s Arrest
February 12, 2025
The Global Airline Industry and its Travails It is an open secret that airlines all over the world are bleeding due to various reasons. They range from overcapacity and the intense competition or fare wars and price cuts by lower cost airlines to the fact that operational expenses have gone up so much that profits […]
How Automation Benefits the Logistics Sector through Efficiencies and Synergies Automation benefits the logistics sector in many ways. Right from order booking and package handling in warehouses, including transit and shipment that is enabled by automated modes, and tracking and delivering the materials, automation can increase the efficiencies and synergies of the entire supply chain. […]
What is Aadhar and why it can be Transformative to India? Not a day passes without Indians being reminded of the need to link their Aadhar number with the Banks and Mobile operators, in addition, to continue availing of the various governmental schemes. Indeed, Aadhar has become a household name in India as well as […]
A large number of developing countries across the world are dependent upon commodities. About 135 of these developing countries were surveyed, and it turned out that more than 94 of these countries are commodity dependent. This means that primary commodities like food grains, oil, etc. account for more than 60% of their total exports. Prima […]
Ever since the great recession ended in 2009, the entire world has been following loose expansionist monetary policies. However, after a decade of such policies, most countries in the world have now started resorting to monetary tightening. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates four consecutive times in the past four years. The Reserve Bank […]
The other modules discuss the phenomenon of globalization and the ongoing global economic crisis among other topics. This module is intended to discuss the salient aspects of the global economy including the structural features and the way in which several competing trends and factors influence the workings of the global economy.
For instance, the global economy is dominated by the United States, Europe and China in the current decade with the balance of power likely to shift towards China in the coming years.
Though the United States is in deep recession, there are many optimistic experts who aver that the country can pull through its worst recession since the Great Depression and reinvent itself and rejuvenate itself. Of course, Europe remains stuck in sovereign debt crises and deleveraging brought upon due to excessive debt and fiscal profligacy along with loose monetary policies.
On the other hand, China is undergoing a structural shift in the way its economy is ordered with more emphasis on domestic consumption driven growth instead of just relying on exports alone.
The present state of the global economy has meant that other emerging economies like India, South Africa and Brazil can hope to grow at moderately high levels if the current projections are anything to go by. However, what can upset the calculations of all these countries is the fact that for the last four years, most countries in the world have relied on loose money or in other words, printing money to stimulate growth. This leads to inflation in the absence of the real economy growing and hence, central bankers in most countries in the world are apprehensive about the effect of inflation. This is the primary agenda behind the tight monetary policy that has been followed in many countries including India.
However, the United States and China are nowhere near tightening their purse strings and on the other hand, they have embarked on a high stimulus driven growth which means that pretty soon they would have to deal with the problem of inflation.
Further, since the Dollar is the reserve currency and China has humungous reserves of Dollars, both these countries can afford to embark on stimulus since the rest of the world would continue to trade in Dollars which means that for the US, they can print as much as they can and for China they can use their reserves in any way that they deem fit.
One country that has managed the best of both worlds is Germany which because of its high productivity and export driven growth has managed to outperform nearly every other economy in the world.
However, the ongoing sovereign debt crisis in Europe has cast a shadow on Germany’s ability to finance the excesses of the other European countries. Hence, the situation needs to be keenly watched for the way in which Germany and the Eurozone would handle the crisis.
In conclusion, this article has given a thousand feet overview of the global economy. The subsequent articles discuss the many dimensions of the global economy and its workings in depth.
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