The Big Fat Bitcoin Bubble
If you are an investor who is even remotely connected to financial markets, the odds are that you have heard about the spectacular rise of Bitcoin. The crypto-currency has grown from $10,000 to $17,000 in a week. Many believe that this is a bubble. However, there are others who believe that the rise of Bitcoin is based on genuine underlying factors. In this article, we will have a closer look at the Bitcoin phenomenon to determine whether its sky-high valuation is justified.
Bitcoin: An Alternative Investment Asset
Bitcoin comes into existence through mining. In common words, this means that people have to lend the processing power of their computers to process Bitcoin-related transactions. Users are then rewarded with a Satoshi which is a smaller unit of a Bitcoin.
The idea of a currency which can completely bypass the fiat currency model seems fascinating to many investors. Investors are tired of the constant inflation that government-issued currencies bring along. $1000 invested in United States dollars in 2013 would have a purchasing power of only $900 or so. On the other hand, $1000 invested in Bitcoin in 2013 would today be worth millions in 2017! Bitcoin has by far outperformed every central bank issued fiat currency.
Several investors view Bitcoin as an alternative to fiat currency. The Bitcoin algorithm has been developed to prevent inflation. The maximum amount of Bitcoin currency has been capped at 21 million.
Is Bitcoin Really a New Currency?
The short answer would be no. The long answer is a little bit more complicated. Here are the details:
For a currency to be useful, it must have a relatively stable value. This means that consumers must be able to exchange the same amount of currency for the same amount of goods and services. The higher this stability over a period of time, the better the currency is!
Bitcoin fails this test. The value of Bitcoin is very volatile on a day to day and even minute to minute basis. Consumers who use Bitcoin will not be able to budget their weekly or monthly expenses given the volatility that this cryptocurrency is subject to. It will be even more difficult for merchants to price their goods and services in terms of Bitcoin given the time lag between production and sales.
High Transaction Fee
A stable currency does not try to forcibly lock in its users. However, that is exactly what Bitcoin does. The transaction charges related to Bitcoin are prohibitive. At the present moment, Bitcoin users have to pay over $13 as transaction charges for every transaction! As the number of Bitcoin mined decreases, the transaction fee is likely to increase over the long term making matters worse.
This means that even if they buy a cup of coffee worth $5 with Bitcoin, they still have to pay $13 for the transaction fee. This is why Bitcoin is not a stable currency but instead a volatile investment.
Long Processing Times
Apart from being expensive, Bitcoin transactions are also inconvenient. Consumers are used to instant payments and receipts. On the other hand, Bitcoin transactions take over an hour to process. As Bitcoin is not an organized currency, you canít really call up customer service and check the status of the transaction. Bitcoin is not a viable alternative to fiat currencies because of the sheer inconvenience it causes. Trade and commerce would drastically reduce if every transaction took over an hour to process!
The Electricity Requirement
Bitcoin requires a huge amount of electricity. Each transaction processed by Bitcoin consumes more electricity than a United States household would consume in an entire week! This is what makes Bitcoin unviable for more than three-fourths of the world. The developing world is facing a shortage of power even for meeting daily necessities. A currency that consumes enormous amounts of electricity would simply be unviable in most parts of the world.
It would, therefore, be safe to say that at the moment, Bitcoin isnít a practical alternative to fiat currencies. Speculators and gamblers instead of consumers lead the current Bitcoin boom.
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