Do Emerging Markets Represent the New Frontier for Globalization ?
Ever since the onset of the global economic crisis, there has been much talk about how globalization has reached its nadir and that the concept of an integrated global economy leading to prosperity has been discredited. The reason for this cynicism was that many commentators blamed globalization for causing the global economic crisis and plunging […]
Business Process Re-Engineering – Meaning, its Need and Technology
Hammer and Champy’s concept of Business Process Re-Engineering depends on harnessing technology to optimize processes as its main driver. To understand why technology is imperative for BPR, let’s first review what BPR does. What is BPR? “BPR is the fundamental rethinking and radical redesign of business processes to achieve dramatic improvements in critical contemporary measures […]
The Need for Operational Definitions of Metrics
While coming up with operational metrics one must not forget to begin by first clarifying and defining what they mean. This is because there is a good chance that there may be ambiguity regarding what the metric really means. To better understand how to come up with operational definitions, the following procedure must be followed. […]
A Brief on Customs Brokerage
International trade is regulated through tariffs and trade laws established by the Country’s Federal Governments to control the imports and exports of the country. The Government invests executive powers to the Customs Departments, headed by Custom’s Commissioners to administer the policies and tariffs on all imports and exports into and out of the country. Customs […]
International Trade Terms – INCOTERMS
Globalization has given impetus of international trade which is increasing by the day. International trade involves multiple agencies, transportation agents, carriers as well as Customs and Banks etc of the two countries involved in trade. Any Export or Import transaction involves transportation of goods predominantly via sea or air and in some cases over the […]
According to many respected commentators like Nouriel Roubini and Joseph Stiglitz, the Global Economy is facing severe headwinds which can culminate in a “Global Perfect Storm” in beginning 2013. The term perfect storm refers to the coming together of extreme weather conditions that culminate to produce a storm of such a magnitude as never seen before.
When applied to the global economy, the term denotes the simultaneous impact of the United States facing a “fiscal cliff”, the Eurozone breaking up and China deleveraging which spells trouble for the economies of the world. Though this has been predicted before, what makes the situation different this time is that the conditions for these events have been set in motion and are accelerating towards a finale.
The combination of falling tax revenues, increased debt and cuts to wages and benefits including layoffs of workers in the government sector means that conditions are ripe for a prolonged recession. And when these portend gloomy days for the US, the world economy is bound to be effected since the global economy is heavily dependent on the US for support and sustenance.
The point here is that till now Germany and France have been resisting the breakup of the Eurozone which many say is inevitable. Hence, it remains to be seen how long this situation can persist given the rather humungous debt that the countries of the Eurozone hold.
Further, the US economy is no longer importing that much from the Chinese and hence, the time for China to consume more domestically and export less is coming into play. This means that stimulus packages aimed at the export sector must now be oriented towards domestic consumption and the excess inventory of goods that have piled up have to be sold off.
In conclusion, these trends are slowly rubbing against each other and the global economy is moving towards a situation where they all impact at the same time leading to conditions that have been described as a perfect storm. Hence, policymakers in all countries including India have to assess the impact of the coming storm and plan accordingly. After all, being forewarned is being forearmed.
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What the Current Wave of Protectionism and Populism mean for the Future of Globalization and Free Trade
February 12, 2025
